(Open thread + links (delayed))
Given recent disruption, probably especially patchy. (Chaos Patches might be moving to Tuesday’s regularly for a while, coincidentally.)
The death of exit. The Pope of Moldbuggian ‘orthodoxy’. The Hoppean road. A fake civilization. The church cannot lead. WeSearchr (repeated). The weekly round (in doom), and outliers.
“This is an insanely difficult perspective to adopt …” Ascended Economy (1, 2), and very related.
Return of the tribe (also). The monarchist moment. Amren quafs leftist tears (1, 2). Resentment cannot be assuaged. Sexy pagans.
Alt-Right panic report. The Aryan Goddess (1, 2, 3). The unnecessariat. Blame the left for the Alt-Right. “It’s really concerning …” (video). Origins of the Alt-Right. Fashy birds.
More Duerte Harry. Venezuela‘s only friends are idiots (there’s a Marxist take). Low-T Europe (1, 2), plus the center cannot hold (1, 2, 3). Flashpoint Austria. Tomorrow‘s EU. Greece is going nowhere. Britain’s true friends. The US and SE Asian geopolitics (over ideology). The old South Africa. Indian demographics. Challenges and opportunities in China. Global security welfare. Deglobalization. The Westphalian order is dying (video).
Trumpenführer panic report (0, 1, 2). Resistance is futile (plus, and double-plus). The SCOTUS factor. Authoritarians for Trump (video). Foreign drama.
Asian racism (inversely related).
Thiel and private deterrence (1, 2, 3, 4), relevant. Milo does DePaul (video).
Brains do not compute. Vox does IQ. End of the anti-biotic era. Information processing in bacteria. Zombie ants.
VR and philosophy. Quantum philosophy.
The Uber-effect. Crypto-radicalization. Implementing swarm intelligence.
On dares. Hyper-Reality.
Moved apartment today, from Jing’an to Laoximen (on the edge of the Old City). Nine-stories of additional elevation (up to 23), and a view over the Confucian Temple. Internet doesn’t come in until tomorrow, so a 24-hour Chaos Patch delay is unavoidable. Apologies for that. (Treat this one as an additional open thread, naturally.)
Should now be assisting with rifling through mountains of cardboard boxes …
The cephalization great divergence:
One mystery of human evolution is why our cognition differs qualitatively from our closest evolutionary relatives. Here we show how natural selection for large brains may lead to premature newborns, which themselves require more intelligence to raise, and thus may select for even larger brains. As we show, these dynamics can be self-reinforcing and lead to runaway selection for extremely high intelligence and helpless newborns. We test a prediction of this account: the helplessness of a primate’s newborns should strongly predict their intelligence. We show that this is so and relate our account to theories of human uniqueness and the question of why human-level intelligence took so long to evolve in the history of life. (XS emphasis.)
Any model outputting the result emphasized has to be worth taking seriously. Abstracting it to a degree that permits emulation is more of a problem, but it’s also the only thing worth aiming for.
Worth a read. The ‘practical’ conclusions are incredibly lame, but the historical narrative isn’t terrible. Crucial to note, however, that ‘fascism’ here is framed by a peculiarly thoughtless Marxoid dogmatism, and means simply: Anything that is seriously anti-communist.
This is huge. It’s what media following the grain of the Internet looks like (if only as a preliminary glimpse).
Here‘s how it works:
WeSearchr has a select group of editors that we call “Askers” who watch the news cycle and figure out what people want to know. […] If an Asker believes that there is enough interest in a question, they will create a “Bounty” as a reward for the answer to the question. The minimum amount of funding to trigger a Bounty is called a “reserve”. […] Members of the WeSearchr community can browse the bounties and donate money to fund a bounty, like other crowdfunding sites. […] Once a Bounty hits its reserve, it is funded and WeSearchr will accept answers from people that have the answers to that question. […] WeSearchr will review the submissions and check them for veracity. […] If the submission fulfills the terms of the Bounty, WeSearchr will assign the reward and release the information to the Asker and assigned news outlets for distribution. […] 30 days after the story’s release, WeSearchr pays the Bounty.
75% of the Bounty goes to the person(s) that deliver a solution.
10% goes to the Asker
15% goes to WeSearchr
So: A decentralized market place for journalistic research.
The conception alone crosses an honesty threshold. There is no longer any need for meta-lies about the essential character of contemporary journalism (as a political apparatus screened by an increasingly-ludicrous pretense to disinterested ‘news’ curation). All research is interested, and its incentives are now openly formalized. The result is a germinal assassination market for hidden things. It targets enemy secrets. The information warfare that media have always been ceases to be promoted as anything else.
For the first time in over a century, it is now possible to envisage journalists making an honest living (by fulfilling private research contracts). This type of transition only goes in one direction. A piece of the future just came into view.
There is no nectar like these tears. WaPo’s Charles Lane whines exquisitely at a cultural crisis management event, held in Washington DC (reported by Amren):
I think it’s the leveling of access to mass communication. Twenty years ago you had to own a $250 million printing press to have access to the whole world; today, you need a $400 phone and you can communicate directly to the entire world. This has been a tremendous source of energy to populist movements. We, the mainstream media, are weaker than we’ve ever been before, yet we are vilified for controlling the discourse. We’ve never been weaker and never been more hated.
The Fourth Estate is having a peculiarly awful 2016 (and it only goes downhill from here).
Collapse traps people:
You have to know when to leave.
Most don’t, and won’t, of course.
(Treat this as a promissory note on an installment of provocative skepticism viz the ‘eventually its necessary to stand and fight, or even take things back’ proposition that haunts NRx like a chain-rattling ghost, now more than ever, in the shadow of the impending Trumpenreich. Zombie-fighting-types can assume that the tacit XS stance (“flee you fools”) is at least as infuriating as they would expect it to be.)
XS has received a firm (but fair) scolding for not linking to this development in yesterday’s Chaos Patch (or elsewhere).
Here’s the website and a nested blogpost (containing a deeper link to the whitepaper (which is good)). The (minimalistic) manifesto is an ideological mish-mash which has been worked-over by PR imperatives and demands cold scrutiny to extract its real content.
From the whitepaper:
A word of caution, at the outset: the legal status of DAOs remains the subject of active and vigorous debate and discussion. Not everyone shares the same definition. Some have said that they are autonomous code and can operate independently of legal systems; others have said that they must be owned or operate by humans or human created entities. There will be many uses cases, and the DAO code will develop over time. Ultimately, how a DAO functions and its legal status will depend on many factors, including how DAO code is used, where it is used, and who uses it. This paper does not speculate about the legal status of DAOs worldwide.
The XS prediction is itself predictable: This only goes in one direction (and eventually its going to be vast).
ADDED: When the marketing aesthetics go in this direction, we’re done.
ADDED: Andrea Castillo comments.
(Open thread + links)
Property maps authority. Vampiric priors (and response). NRx will be eaten. Slippery slopes. Discretion. Only a new religion can save us (and ancient Chinese signaling spirals). The weekly round, plus outliers.
Atavistic illiberalism (cites). Generational war. Geek-nerd war. Resilient inequality. Militia make waves. Filter the electorate. Alt-Left back and forth. Christianity contra capitalism? Errors of the ENR. Marcuse and his backers.
Democracy in crisis (part n). Le Pen on the death of the EU. Israel heads right. A wide-angle view of Venezuela.
Trumpenführer panic report (0, 1). Red State hands over the keys. Statistical hits and misses.
Trouble in the Donkey camp (1, 2).
Twitter mayhem, left and right. Frog plague.
Uninformed economics. Recent natural selection in humans. A vanilla case for gene-editing (relevant). The deep roots of war. Humans aren’t cockroaches (when considered indiscriminately). The real demographic problem. How to avoid antibiotic apocalypse. Darwinian meta-ethics.
Cardwell’s Law. Google with chips. Persistent robot menace, but note: “I’m aware that these kinds of forecasts have been around for at least 200 years, from the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, and they never came true so far. It’s basically the boy who cried wolf … But in the original story of the boy who cried wolf, in the end, the wolf actually comes …” Pan-surveillance.
Thoughts on the Chinese typewriter.
World War Zero. Excavation of the unknown. A signal in the darkness?
The quandary, concisely stated:
(Karl Marx actually made some observations relevant to this point, Joseph Schumpeter — with a far colder tragic vision — even more so.)