Archive for August, 2016

Twitter cuts (#77)


This works for me.

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August 12, 2016admin 28 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Ideology
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Twitter cuts (#76)


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August 11, 2016admin 27 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Realism
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Chaos Patch (#124)

(Open thread + links)
Late, straggly … chaotic.

Dark reformulation (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8). Secrets of sex. Holiness (plus). Dampier interviewed. Consequences. Decolonization. Loose women. Leftist lies (1, 2). Daily Moldbug. The weekly round, and outliers.

Libertarian insight and blindness, plus the border question. What the Alt-Right gets right (also). American Nazis today. Ideological rotation. Equality and madness. The persistence of bad ideas. Dugin on Junger. New Man.

Against Edenism. Christianity and the current crisis. Why we can’t talk about Islam (like this, or this). Peace propaganda. Catholics against ethno-nationalism (or not, plus). Citadel at the Orthosphere.

Gold facts. Debt trapped.

Borders matter. Insecurity make-work. Racialized anarcho-tyranny and political polarization (1, 2, 3). “It would be nice if policemen didn’t tend to be divas who sulk and slack off when political leaders demonize cops as racist murderers and encourage black rage, but that’s the way they are.”

“If there were a contest for the most stupid idea in politics, my choice would be the assumption that people would be evenly or randomly distributed in incomes, institutions, occupations or awards, in the absence of somebody doing somebody wrong.”

Geopolitics of shale. Forked Europe. The Far Right’s recruiters. Death of the French Republic (plus). Jews in Sweden (and Amerika, 1, 2). Catalonia votes to split. Ebb-tide of globalism. “What is wrong with 2016? When will it be over?” Luanda tumbles.

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7). Forgotten men. Racialization of American politics. Quiet. The peace and post-constitutional candidate. “… there is in fact a good argument that Trump is Hitler” (plus 1, 2). Trump voters. Fair and balanced. Trump is right on NATO and on crime. What Krugman did. Awkward questions. McMullin.

Poor whites. Rough stuff. What’s wrong with Hillary?

Apocalypse Corner (1, 2, 3).

Race and ideology. French dysgenics. The IQ taboo. Chinese super-baby watch.

Evolution of general intelligence. Kin markers. Mass extinctions.

“Nature, it turns out, doesn’t like to be told what’s presumably natural.”

Scalable technology is the key to historical change. Schism today. The Ethereum hard fork. What Intel does. The Tesla Gigafactory. AI on the way (plus). WeChat. Back-up people. The Internet breaks things up.

Beauty as compression. Iceworm exposed. The Collatz conjecture.

[There’s still more in the in-tray …]

August 10, 2016admin 70 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Chaos
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Quote note (#271)

What?

The alt furry movement finds like-minded allies within the alt Bronies, adult male fans of the TV series My Little Pony: Friendship is Magic who subscribe to the same neo-reactionary politics.

(There’s no way this one get a ‘Neoreaction’ tag. I’m giving it an ‘Alt-Right’ tag just to be annoying.)

August 9, 2016admin 74 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Ideology
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Quote note (#270)

Taleb on the media short-circuit:

Social media allowed me to go direct to the public and bypass the press, an uberization if you will, as I skip the intermediary. I do not believe that members of the press knows their own interests very well. I noticed that journalists try to be judged by other journalists and their community, not by their readers, unlike writers.

No one realizes they’re in a death-bubble until it gets disintermediated from the Outside. We’re going to be seeing ever more of that. (At the largest scale, the Cathedral concept was formulated to predict it.)

ADDED: A grimmer take on social media.

August 8, 2016admin 24 Comments »
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Democratic Deconsolidation

Crucial reading:

What does it mean, in concrete terms, for democracy to be the only game in town? In our view, the degree to which a democracy is consolidated depends on three key characteristics: the degree of popular support for democracy as a system of government; the degree to which antisystem parties and movements are weak or nonexistent; and the degree to which the democratic rules are accepted. […] This empirical understanding of democratic consolidation opens up conceptual space for the possibility of “democratic deconsolidation.” In theory, it is possible that, even in the seemingly consolidated democracies of North America and Western Europe, democracy may one day cease to be the “only game in town”: Citizens who once accepted democracy as the only legitimate form of government could become more open to authoritarian alternatives. […] … It is at least plausible to think that such a process of democratic deconsolidation may already be underway in a number of established democracies in North America and Western Europe. […] … In a world where most citizens fervently support democracy, where antisystem parties are marginal or nonexistent, and where major political forces respect the rules of the political game, democratic breakdown is extremely unlikely. It is no longer certain, however, that this is the world we live in. […] … As democracies deconsolidate, the prospect of democratic breakdown becomes increasingly likely — even in parts of the world that have long been spared such instability. If political scientists are to avoid being blindsided by the demise of established democracies in the coming decades, as they were by the fall of communism a few decades ago, they need to find out whether democratic deconsolidation is happening; to explain the possible causes of this development; to delineate its likely consequences (present and future); and to ponder the potential remedies.

Considerable statistical evidence (provided in the paper) supports this alarmed conclusion.

(Drezner is nervous.)

Previously by the paper’s authors, Roberto Foa and Yascha Mounk, making the same thesis here, and here.

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August 7, 2016admin 28 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Democracy
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Machine Poetry

madness in her face and i
the world that i had seen
and when my soul shall be to see the night to be the same and
i am all the world and the day that is the same and a day i had been
a young little woman i am in a dream that you were in
a moment and my own heart in her face of a great world
and she said the little day is a man of a little
a little one of a day of my heart that has been in a dream

Not the greatest poetic achievement in world history, certainly. (The two final lines are definitely poor.) But the worst? Anywhere even remotely close to the worst?

The author: “Deep Gimble I is a proof-of-concept Recurrent Neural Net, minimally trained on public domain poetry and seeded with a single word.”

(Submissions from literary AIs accepted at the link.)

August 7, 2016admin 28 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Technology
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Merkel’s Mess

Damon Linker paints the gruesome picture almost perfectly. (Read the whole thing — it’s not long.)

In the course of a few months, Angela Merkel was transmogrified from a moderately talented German politician, into one of the most destructive leaders in world history. If that sounds like an exaggeration, it’s only because her responsibility for dragging the European continent back into a new 1930s still awaits the unfolding of events. Even without complete relapse into a dark age of authoritarian anti-capitalism, the wave of rape, pillage, and terror she has unleashed will now — inevitably — devastate millions of lives, and structurally degrade the quality of life for tens of millions more as they seek to protect themselves in markedly more adverse social circumstances. It will all get extremely ugly. As Linker dryly remarks, “let’s just say it’s unlikely to end well. … And the storm has only just begun to gather.”

What was she thinking? Assuming — as seems fair — that she doesn’t positively want to usher in Hitler 2.0, her catastrophic policy decisions have to be misguided. It’s probably no easier for the readers of this blog than it is for me to cognitively sympathize with the deranged path she has taken. One can only infer that she genuinely believed a vast flood of predominantly young, male, Islamic, tribalistic, and historically-traumatized incomers, with a hallucinatory sense of (unrealizable) cultural and material entitlement, would immediately transmute into fungible production units and contribute to European pensions financing. The Economist pretends to believe the same thing. I’m forced to accept it’s possible to believe it, despite finding the flying spaghetti monster significantly more plausible. If this depth of delusion really has a grip on the minds of Western elites, any outcome other than utter disaster is most probably unobtainable. A cynical lie would be far less dangerous.

In a single stroke, Merkel has converted the Raspail and Houellebecq scenarios into vivid contemporary predicaments. European collapse has been radically accelerated. For that, a certain dark gratitude is due.

August 6, 2016admin 96 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Lunatics
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Sentences (#69)

Fernandez:

Fiasco is rooting for Trump.

(Hillary, then fiasco, would be the optimum sequence.)

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August 5, 2016admin 22 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Events
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Twitter cuts (#75)

Rallying the futurist constituency for a change of direction. (Any positive Trump expectations are the part of this that will age least well.)

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August 4, 2016admin 90 Comments »
FILED UNDER :Collapse
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