Chaos Patch (#97)

(Open thread + links)

ACIDS. Hyperborean NRx. Limits of fascism, and nationalism. In defense of deontology. Journalism today. The weekly round.

Sell everything. The China bubble (related Marxist take). How low can oil go? Epocalypse (also). Western Spring (related). A fable for our times. The fury. Cthulhu dreaming. Thoughts on the deep state. Democracy in question. Charlie don’t surf.

The Sunni/Shia line up. Jihad in Istanbul, Jakarta, and Ouagadougou.

Who needs cash? How to make money better. Bitcoin and security. Event horizon.

More to come. The liberal agony (1, 2), and the other thing (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Tightrope walking. Taharrush. Feminism in crisis (plus, and related). The Swedish angle (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6). Lie back and think of multiculturalism. Comedy hour.

An epic (loose) trilogy from Feser on Islam and Western religion (1, 2, 3). Other Catholic responses (1, 2).

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Bonus Cruz popcorn. Nuclear popcorn.

SJW target of the week. Milo was warned (plus anecdotal fluff). Twitter and free speech. The Enlightenment in ruins. Adolf is back.

Why IQ matters. Hamiltonian bees. A colorful character. A CRISPR walk-through. Genes and brains ((cautious) Steve Hsu video interview). Tesla crime-think. The welfare trait. Liberated infidelity. The liberal war on science (remember). Smoking and schizophrenia.

Galactic dark ages. Space (and 2016 stuff). Colonizing the galaxy will be hard. Difficult numbers.

How England was undone.

Time to short Penn.

Tech acceleration made simple. Split futures. The year to come in quantum computing.

Wikipedia, an appreciation. Lessons of The Illiad. On Stephenson’s Anathem, and Gibson’s ‘Agrippa’. Closing of the childhood frontier.

“A common bias among the smart is to overestimate how smart everyone else is.”

January 17, 2016admin 37 Comments »
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37 Responses to this entry

  • Chaos Patch (#97) | Neoreactive Says:

    […] By admin […]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 4:50 pm Reply | Quote
  • Skilluminati Says:

    Have you seen this short sci-fi piece from Stross explaining how you’re the spawn of Charles Koch and Richard Viguerie?

    http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2016/01/some-american-political-marker.html

    Also: you’re just like ISIS.

    [Reply]

    admin Reply:

    Charlie is getting so over-excited it’s hard to quite grasp the thesis.

    [Reply]

    John Reply:

    “Neoreaction – a scream of rage against the modern world”

    We should put that on a t-shirt.

    [Reply]

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    “We’re on a mission from Gnon.”

    [Reply]

    Xoth Reply:

    Give me one of those.

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 5:18 pm Reply | Quote
  • grey enlightenment Says:

    hmmm… think it’s the opposite too..very old article though

    “A common bias among the smart is to overestimate how smart everyone else is.”

    not me. It can’t go to zero.

    “Sell everything. The China bubble (related Marxist take). How low can oil go?”

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 5:45 pm Reply | Quote
  • Alrenous Says:

    And again, effort is wasted, defending ‘deontology’ against ‘consequentialism’ when they are not different things. Avoiding such Wittgensteinian word games is much of what philosophy is for. On top of this, nihilism is true, it turns out. There’s only the tension between long-term prudence and short-term prudence.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 6:42 pm Reply | Quote
  • Erebus Says:

    -Speaking of space: That alien “megastructure” continues to confound SETI and other observers. Recently published observations have smashed previous hypotheses & raise many very puzzling questions.
    …It’s funny that we can consider universal (or at least galactic) “filters” when we can’t make sense of something so close, and so obviously unusual. We are like a man standing in a thick London fog at night, not able to see past his outstretched hand, who observes nobody, and is therefore certain that the City is utterly deserted.

    -From that Anathem review:
    “[…] the very real problem that when Stephenson writes about human civilization, what he’s really talking about is Western civilization. There is no mention of any culture not descended down the Greece-Rome-Christian Europe line in Anathem, no analogues to India, China, Arabia or Persia. At best, these cultures and their contributions to science, philosophy, and the store of human knowledge exist on Arbre but are never mentioned by Erasmas, who may not even be aware of their existence. At worst, the platonic ideal of human civilization, per Stephenson, doesn’t include non-white cultures.”
    …At worst? Ah, yet another reason to thoroughly enjoy that book. (Aside: Arabia? What do the Bedouin have to do with “civilization”? Besides, the monastic life depicted in Anathem is not utterly alien to Asian culture — indeed, the Avout even have a Shao-Lin equivalent in the Ringing Vale! Would the bitch be placated if Stephenson gave ’em all Asian names?)

    -The Tech Acceleration author pointed out something very true, but very general and obvious. What’s interesting, and rather less obvious, is the fact that the author’s point is becoming increasingly true in the old-fashioned and relatively stagnant domains of chemistry, materials science, metallurgy, and aerospace. I’m privy to a few things I can’t write about, but take my word for it: The next 10 years are going to be the best 10 years for materials science since the 1960s — and by a wide margin. A lot of things which have heretofore existed only in the lab are now finding applications, and much of this is because manufacturing tools and processes have managed to scale. (For example, SPS is becoming cost-effective and viable for bulk engineering ceramic production.)
    …Also, chemical synthesis machines (PDF) — often called “printers”, which I think is erroneous — have just recently started making very interesting advances. The jury’s still out on this sort of thing, but it’s well worth keeping an eye on.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 7:01 pm Reply | Quote
  • Different T Says:

    So do we now have to sit thru the libertardians and Austrians claiming they predicted a deflationary crisis?

    And further claiming that a demand shortfall can only be corrected by market crash.

    [Reply]

    Orthodox Reply:

    There’s no demand shortfall, unless you’re referring to the demand for credit money. In terms of a structural demand shortfall, people didn’t have enough babies and we’re learning that you can’t replace American white collar workers with Mexican landscapers, or German engineers with Muslim rapefugees. In China, the supply was distorted in a near perfect textbook example of misallocation of capital by central planners and cheap credit.

    You could bypass the Federal Reserve and print up new money, but how is crashing the U.S. dollar not a market crash? Instead of having some prices crash while others stay constant, you would have some prices stay constant while others crash.

    [Reply]

    Different T Reply:

    “There’s no demand shortfall, unless you’re referring to the demand for credit money.”

    In a way, yes. Considering credit money is taken to finance consumption or investment at present to be paid back in the future; eg. to increase aggregate demand.

    “In terms of a structural demand shortfall, people didn’t have enough babies and we’re learning that you can’t replace American white collar workers with Mexican landscapers, or German engineers with Muslim rapefugees.”

    This doesn’t work. You appear to be saying demographic trends are responsible and therefore the economy is unsustainable. But the “American white collar workers” were also unsustainable; we have actual evidence, they were not sustained.

    “In China, the supply was distorted in a near perfect textbook example of misallocation of capital by central planners and cheap credit.”

    But who has what? Would China have experienced the growth it did without the “misallocation of capital” you claim? If not, why should your version of “correctly allocated capital” be preferred? Is there some metric you have in mind that would demonstrate China should have followed a slow growth, minimal pubic spending strategy?

    “You could bypass the Federal Reserve and print up new money, but how is crashing the U.S. dollar not a market crash? Instead of having some prices crash while others stay constant, you would have some prices stay constant while others crash.”

    If you believe those are the only two options.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 8:16 pm Reply | Quote
  • michael Says:

    “A common bias among the smart is to overestimate how smart everyone else is.” without reading link yet this has long been my best explanation for whats gone wrong not only how smart but how civilized in general. Liberals base their expectations for their policies on what they and their friends would do they mix hardly at all outside their set and so are really clueless as to what the world is really like.I remember murry in bell curve saying people marry and friend within a few IQ points of each other and of course his whole thesis was the isolating sifting stratification of the cognitive elites since testing.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 8:22 pm Reply | Quote
  • Aeroguy Says:

    From the Scientific American piece on difficulties in colonizing space. “Reproduction would not be a matter of free choice, as the population in the ark would have to maintain minimum and maximum numbers. Many jobs would be mandatory to keep the ark functioning, so work too would not be a matter of choices freely made. In the end, sharp constraints would force the social structure in the ark to enforce various norms and behaviors. The situation itself would require the establishment of something like a totalitarian state.” So basically an explicit endorsement that only something like NRx can produce sustainable civilization, but balks and simply decides it’s too hard.

    [Reply]

    Different T Reply:

    The NRx that is so terrified of power it thinks fiat currency is the devil?

    [Reply]

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    The devil? No. Divorced from reality? Likely.

    [Reply]

    Yvjrolu Reply:

    What does the word “NRx” actually mean?

    [Reply]

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    CCP.

    [Reply]

    Xoth Reply:

    “Neo are Matri(x)”.

    [Reply]

    Puzzle Privateer (@PuzzlePrivateer) Reply:

    NRx = Neoreaction, often used as a hashtag #NRx on Twitter.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 8:24 pm Reply | Quote
  • michael Says:

    from the Breitbart SJW article notice the phrase “virtue signaling” he must be one of ours with a regular column at Breitbart.
    “But at least Suster has been civil. Other online virtue signallers have displayed the characteristic spitefulness and intolerance of the modern progressive left and the so-called social justice movement.”

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 8:31 pm Reply | Quote
  • Chaos Patch (#97) | Reaction Times Says:

    […] Source: Outside In […]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 9:41 pm Reply | Quote
  • Brett Stevens Says:

    Wonderful to see us here in the midst of a sea of great links.

    Most criticism of nationalism comes from a democratic impulse: we are all equal, so national borders must be justified for the inconvenience they impose. It is interesting, similar to the rejection of “fact” and “studies” necessary for thinking forward instead of backward.

    Of course, these are different from the forward/backward definitions created by leftism.

    We live in interesting times, and it’s great to see these illusions fall.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 9:54 pm Reply | Quote
  • Alrenous Says:

    The scenario unfolding is one where wealth is increasingly sucked from the wider base of an economy and society (formerly known as “the middle class” and “small business”) into what I call “the capstone class”, that much smaller, well connected cabal on top that directly benefits from credit creation and enjoys the fruits of the market distortions now playing out.

    (Many may equate this with the fabled “1%”, although I find that meme inaccurate. Statistically speaking I’m “of the 1%” and believe me, I’m not some anointed blue blood sitting here in a dark robe manipulating the world economy. I wish. I’m getting my nuts squeezed just like everybody else.)

    As I’ve been saying. Ironically the NYT published the number for America, which is 400 people. One percent of America is three million people.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 11:23 pm Reply | Quote
  • Grotesque Body Says:

    Trivers sounds like quality banter.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 17th, 2016 at 11:35 pm Reply | Quote
  • 4candles Says:

    Won’t somebody think of the Great Cat Massacre? wtf did I just read?

    [Reply]

    Dark Psy-Ops Reply:

    Zizek’s whole piece is offensively dishonest, there’s no way he believes his own conceit that the sex attacks are best explained as a result of a phantasmatic “desire for the west'” and not, as research predicts, a consequence of sociosexual orientation: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/259934009_Sociosexuality_as_predictor_of_sexual_harassment_and_coercion_in_female_and_male_high_school_students

    Zizek wants to grossly believe the Muslims really have a (repressed) hard-on for himself. And yeah. the carnival rhetoric was another flaccid, banal diversion. You can tell he’s having a hard time politicizing the attacks in his favor, so he relies on Badiou’s exceedingly stupid substitution of Islam for “fascisation”, eventually blaming the entire thing on “low-class brutality” (classism rather than racism), and then ending the article with this willful display of ignorance:

    “The task is to change this stance of envy and revengeful aggressiveness, not to teach them what they already know very well…. in order to enact actual emancipation, they have to be educated (by others and by themselves) into their freedom.”

    Leaving aside what that assertion could possibly mean (nothing actually) it can be simply used as a good example of useless advice coming from an irrelevant penpusher who has subtracted himself from anything resembling a realistic involvement with current affairs, in favor of sweeping obfuscation and pathetic pleading for MOAR UNICORNS.

    [Reply]

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    Sounds like concern trolling to me.

    [Reply]

    Mark Warburton Reply:

    Yup. Zizek has been trolling everyone for years.

    D. Reply:

    A blinkered post-colonialist communist intellectual who interprets everything as pertaining to “global capitalism” — even those people he says “do not count in global capitalism” — and therefore can describe the Islamic invasion of Europe only in terms of dispossessed Third Worlders simultaneously being lured to “rejoin (!) the promised land of the developed west” or else driven by the prosperous West to become “engaged in violent revenge (!)”. In either case, he denies any true agency to those outside the developed world; they are merely reacting to “global capitalism” in the only two ways left to them and cannot do otherwise. Finally, he decides that everything can be described in class terms: the refugees represent the lower classes, and their behavior is typical of a lower class “carnival” expressing their understandable frustrations and resentments in the only way they know how. Rather than contemplate why Western countries should allow the refugees entrance, Zizek ends with a Rousseau-esque call that the refugees should be forced to be free; through Cathedral re-education, they will become useful subjects of the Cathedral.

    [Reply]

    admin Reply:

    Ref.

    [Reply]

    D. Reply:

    Thanks for the reference. Badiou’s balderdash is almost impressive in managing to continue for such length without saying anything meaningful. It seems that the left intelligentsia has learnt nothing and forgotten nothing, from defining fascism as a movement within capitalism, to deciding that the State — in an era where it is ever larger and more intrusive — is in fact withering away due to its supposed domination by capitalist entities, to determining that the French petite bourgeoisie and jihadists (the new proletariat!) must embrace each other and find common cause in overthrowing their capitalist oppressors.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    That awkward moment when I realise the beliefs of my high school teachers correspond precisely to those held by an obese fifth-columnist Stalinist pseudo-intellectual.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 18th, 2016 at 12:05 am Reply | Quote
  • Bob Says:

    The Russians are not ahead of the US in rocketry. The United Launch Alliance is a rent-seeking outfit of well connected defense contractors that’s been using Russian rockets for rent-seeking and political reasons. SpaceX is more cost competitive than the Russians and has been innovating far more than they have.

    [Reply]

    Aeroguy Reply:

    The pattern with Musk and his companies is to cause the catfish effect on high capital industries that have become stagnant to the point of being de facto cartels. The idea being not to beat them but to force them to innovate and do the long term investments in technology corporate research is loath to do. Lockheed’s advancements in fusion research are evidence it’s working.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 18th, 2016 at 4:49 am Reply | Quote
  • SVErshov Says:

    ‘Bitcoin and security’

    http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1200/RR1231/RAND_RR1231.pdf

    very informative report, written in simple language with minimum technical details. interesting chapter on goverment’s strategies to attack crypto coins. good read as introduction in cryptocurrency in general.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 19th, 2016 at 1:30 pm Reply | Quote
  • Blogospheroid Says:

    This cartoon is very much up xenosystems’ alley. (Sorry if it is already linked. Didn’t look through all of them) . It’s got horror and SJW’s.

    http://www.smbc-comics.com/index.php?id=3985

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 20th, 2016 at 5:34 am Reply | Quote

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