End 2015

May Gnon have a fortunate 2016 lined up for all you wretched sinners.

2015 has been intense, and deserves some considered retrospection here — but no way is it getting that now.

Feel free to stick succinct summaries of 2015 and short-term confident predictions / prophecies for 2016 here, if so inclined. You can be held to them later.

See everyone next year.

ADDED: Prog. house hysteric Ryan Cooper — “This has been a grueling year. From America’s lackluster economy to the destruction of Greek democracy to ISIS to the Paris attacks to the rise of a proto-fascist Donald Trump, it’s been one horrible thing after another.” Note the classic late-2015 vintage NRx mainstreaming:

On the right, there are the so-called “neoreactionaries” arguing that democracy is an obvious failure and should be replaced by an ethno-nationalist monarchy. (Face it, they’re not going to launch into a thousand-word critical analysis of Neocameralism at this point.)

December 31, 2015admin 50 Comments »
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50 Responses to this entry

  • SydneyTrads Says:

    Our prediction is that the momentum behind The Quickening will continue to gain in strength. Whether this will favour reaction (neo or retro) is open for discussion.

    [Reply]

    NRx_N00B Reply:

    Yes, yes, hopefully at a high enough velocity to out-pace any corrective/countervailing kinetics, with enough momentum to keep driving things deeper into the realm of instability space.

    Go Hillary!

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 1:26 pm Reply | Quote
  • grey enlightenment Says:

    2016: much like 2015 . Just the usual stuff

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 2:38 pm Reply | Quote
  • Johann Schmitt Says:

    2015 has been called the End of Political Correctness. This is not the end. It is not the beginning of the end. It is not even the end of the beginning!

    But it is, perhaps, the beginning of the beginning.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 2:44 pm Reply | Quote
  • Gentile Ben Says:

    1. Hillary wins.
    2. Nobody buys the Boyega Stormtrooper action figure.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 2:53 pm Reply | Quote
  • Kgaard Says:

    S&P down 8% for the year.
    Gold stock index (HUI) bottoms in October, then rallies.
    Gold gets under $1,000 and stabilizes in Q4 (then turns up in early 2017)
    Fed hikes 2 more times, then stands pat at 1%. As Q4 evolves, expectations of Fed cut in early 2017 increase (as evidenced in Fed Fund futures).
    European and Japanese stocks outperform US stocks due to better (looser) monetary policy.
    China a HUGE wildcard. Could blow at any time. Or they could keep it together.
    Emerging market stocks continue to struggle. EM index flat to down on the year.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 3:26 pm Reply | Quote
  • Dark Psy-Ops Says:

    How about:
    – Sanders wins primary in an upset
    – USA becomes formally communist
    – Syria escalates into a worldwide conflict
    – Sanders keeps America out of the war and raises taxes for domestic grievance industry
    – China and Russia begin to control a large portion of Middle East
    – USA and Europe accept tons of refugees, more than any nation involved in the Syrian war,
    – Turkey aggressively engages China and Russia thinking Nato will back them
    – Sanders pulls out of Nato and Nato all but disbands, leaving Turkey to be mauled.
    – ISIS gets royally f*cked by China and Russia
    – America sinks further into deficit foretelling another decade of economic stagnation and depression.
    – Racial riots and student grievance continue to escalate with the paradoxical support of the White House. (Moar anarcho-tyranny)
    – Russia sinks under inflation and low oil prices and is bailed out by China
    – Sweden continues its turn to ‘right-wing’ democratic socialism
    – Right-wing populists over Europe increasingly gain power as the EU establishment attempts to censor and demonize their opposition.
    – A number of terrorist attacks occur over the world as progressives double-down on policing Islamophobia
    – During the chaos and carnage the space industry manages to pull out a record year of accomplishments.
    – Even Marc Andreesson begins to get worried over the American future.
    – Tech-secession movements gain momentum as well as popular and elite approval by a dissatisfied populace.
    – Neoreaction continues to write on the unfolding events with detachment and is vehemently criticized by VXXC
    – Idaho project moves into next-stage implementation
    – The underground bunker industry records its best year by far
    – Gnon laughs and laughs
    – Bitcoin goes strong
    – We all have a lot of fun in the holocaust of ecstasy and freedom
    – …
    – Profit?

    – Locally, Australia manages to evade the worst of the collapse through strong ties with Asia and is also helped along by the hemispheric distance between them and the rest of the West.
    – I find a great job and a hot girlfriend.
    – Miracles happen

    What do you think?

    [Reply]

    Aristocles_Inv Reply:

    Excellent predictions. quite what I expect as well, except for the Sanders election.

    [Reply]

    vxxc2014 Reply:

    Yes I am a creature of Duty.

    “– Neoreaction continues to write on the unfolding events with detachment and is vehemently criticized by VXXC.”

    I actually like detachment as long as you’re willing to act when the time comes.

    I do wish you [and all of you] find a great job and a hot girlfriend and for those who are married your wives don’t find out about the girlfriend.

    Happy New Year.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 4:55 pm Reply | Quote
  • Casey Sup Says:

    2016 predictions:

    1. Clinton wins presidency of USA.
    2. Angela Merkel either successfully assassinated or narrowly escapes such an attempt.
    3. More rigorous shutting down of “offensive” speech on the Internet across countries.
    4. Islamic State continues slow expansion in Iraq, Syria, Libya.
    5. After Hungary, Poland and Czech Republic, another eastern/central euro country’s govt. speaks out against mass Islamic immigration.
    6. Tommy Robinson (UK) arrested for promoting ‘Pegida’ rallies in UK.
    7. HBD (or IQ) related discussion starts entering mainstream political discourse, with usual cuckservative and leftist denunciations.
    8. Influx of ‘refugees’ from the middle east continues.
    9. Another influx of “refugeees” from war/poverty in some sub-saharan country to Europe begins.
    10. Indian economy sees strong growth.

    Not too many bold predictions. Some really predictable, but let’s see how it goes. Hope is in short supply lately.

    [Reply]

    Xoth Reply:

    Quite plausible, possibly excepting 10. Also, western countries after briefly soothing citizens upset by Paris etc carry on as before.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 4:56 pm Reply | Quote
  • End 2015 | Reaction Times Says:

    […] Source: Outside In […]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 5:25 pm Reply | Quote
  • Lesser Bull Says:

    Sucked.

    Will suck.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 5:26 pm Reply | Quote
  • Hattori Says:

    https://twitter.com/search?q=address%20hotel&src=typd

    Omen for 2016?

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 6:11 pm Reply | Quote
  • Kwisatz Haderach Says:

    – Without any clearly triggering event or news item, the US stock market crashes hard and loses >15% of its peak value within just a few days of trading, followed by a continual decline for the rest of the year.
    – Revised estimates of the 2015 U.S. economy will indicate that last year was a recession with net job loss for the economy.
    – Trump loses Iowa and falls apart, Rubio gets the nom.
    – Rubio loses in a landslide to Clinton.
    – Stock market rallies on the news of Clinton’s election, then gradually slides back down and continues its downward trend to 50% of 2015 peak.
    – Meanwhile, establishment Republicans blame Rubio’s loss on a failure to win enough Hispanic votes, and vow to make stronger efforts to court the Hispanic vote in 2020. They will pay no political price for this pusillanimity.
    – GWAS studies find at least another 100 alleles that are significant for intelligence. NYT will run a headline about the story titled, “New Study May Have Found a Link Between Genes and Intelligence”, or something similarly pc.
    – The birth of the first crispry baby is announced in the East and denounced in the West.
    – A major Islamic attack on a Western city will precipitate empty platitudes and gormless handwringing from effete Western plutocrats. They will pay no political price for this pusillanimity.
    – BTC 600

    [Reply]

    Erebus Reply:

    >”-– The birth of the first crispry baby is announced in the East and denounced in the West.”

    Given the nine months typically required for gestation, and the fact that CRISPR isn’t really intended for cases where PGD would work much more easily (which is almost all of them), I think it’s safe to say that this is not going to happen. They’ve barely gotten started in pigs. I’d give it a few more years.

    >”– Meanwhile, establishment Republicans blame Rubio’s loss on a failure to win enough Hispanic votes, and vow to make stronger efforts to court the Hispanic vote in 2020. They will pay no political price for this pusillanimity.”

    This would be hilarious. I can see ’em doing it, too!
    …Say, what the hell gave the Republicans the idea that Hispanics are “natural conservatives”? They sure as hell aren’t natural conservatives down in South and Central America. To the contrary, they seem naturally inclined towards populist socialism, with its inflated public sectors, corruption, and grossly dysfunctional bureaucracies. I think the Republicans are just delusional…

    Anyway, you and most others here seem to be predicting a Trump loss. I’d predict just the opposite: A Trump victory. Not because I want it, but because the rest of the Republican field is very weak, and the Democratic Party competition is too inherently disagreeable. I think that most male centrists and leftists, who would otherwise be inclined to vote D, would stay home rather than vote for Hillary.

    [Reply]

    Kwisatz Haderach Reply:

    If I had to chose a candidate to win the election, it’s Trump. I hate the persona that he has carefully cultivated (though I hear he’s privately a charming guy), and I hate the fact that his number one argument for why he should be president is that he’s a winner and things will be fantastic if you vote for him. But somehow, due to a path-depdent historical process that defies completely rational explanation, the way things have worked out, is that he is the candidate that the Cathedral and the cuckservatives hate and fear the most, and thus he is my ally. Persona is not very important in comparison to that.

    On the other side, I’m ambivalent about his victory. A symbolic victory does not help us. Instead, continual symbolic defeats insulate us from the real threat that we all know is lurking nearby – Nemesis. Just as he predicted in 2013, the fledgling NRx movement has so quickly forgotten that the cucks*, zealots, and the inner party that rules them will never allow us to have good governance.Their ideological buffet does not have selection pressure on the menu – does not even consider it as something that could in theory be put on the menu. (“Rocks? Why would you want to eat rocks?”) Thus they will come to ruin in the end. Trump can’t possibly change that, isn’t even trying to – quite the opposite – and it’s laughable to believe otherwise.

    Anyway, to whatever extent the fallible meatsack between my ears allows it, I try to keep my personal preferences out of my predictions. I thought he had a chance to get there last month. Then the fucking Iowans started flirting with Ben Carson, the most ridiculously absurd clown that I can imagine. (Honestly, nothing makes blacks look worse than affirmative action.) Anyway, after that I realized that the fat, stupid, and dying beast of white America is cucked. Cucked inside of its own head.

    And thus, Trump will not be able to win. Instead I expect that the cuckiest available candidate will win the nom, and that is Rubio. Jeb has an astounding anticharisma and the legacy of the Bush name to keep him back. Rubio is just the man to sit and the corner and watch while Hillary dons her strapon and has her way with the American people.

    *Cuck was not his word at the time, and probably nothing like how he would phrase it even today, but it is how I see now.

    [Reply]

    D. Reply:

    Trump would have been much better off if the surge in support for Carson hadn’t been ephemeral. The same Iowa evangelical vote that propelled Huckabee in 2008 and Santorum in 2012 was flirting with doing the same for Carson. As with his predecessors, Carson wouldn’t have had a chance of winning the nomination due to a lack of appeal outside this bloc, but it would have served to further divide the groups that aren’t going to vote for Trump in the primaries.

    Instead, it seems that Cruz may be able to win the evangelical bloc, and combined with his existing non-evangelical support and potential appeal to other groups as various candidates falter, he will be a far greater threat to Trump than Carson could have been.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    @D

    Rubio is a gooder goy than Cruz is though.

    Erebus Reply:

    You make some very good points. It is certain that good government isn’t on the menu — and will not be allowed in any case, no matter what the outcome.

    …I just can’t shake the feeling that Rubio is too empty a suit. That there’s nothing of substance about him. That the people who bother to vote in the Republican primaries won’t get behind such a boring, unaccomplished non-entity. (Does this career politician have a single noteworthy accomplishment to his name?)

    Trump is a winner, is tremendously charismatic, and I’m not sure he ought to be ruled out just yet. But if it isn’t Trump, I’d bet that it’ll be either Cruz, or somebody out of left field.

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 6:14 pm Reply | Quote
  • Paul Warkin Says:

    Everyone here is so cynical.

    2015 was a pivotal year. Trump disproved the conventional rules of the American political game. Mainstream political commentator Ann Coulter wrote an ethno-nationalist book. The problem of the SJW entered public consciousness. The Great Replacement in Europe intensified to a degree that built up pressures that are becoming difficult to contain. Alt right emerged a as possible cultural force due to things like /pol/, TRS, Sam Hyde, and gamergate.

    2016: war.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 7:31 pm Reply | Quote
  • Puzzle Privateer (@PuzzlePrivateer) Says:

    Trump wins election.

    Liberals start Civil War 2.

    [Reply]

    Xoth Reply:

    It’s about time, eh?

    [Reply]

    vxxc2014 Reply:

    P/P, Paul Warkin, Xoth…

    Yes. Probably.

    War is a matter of conflicted interests having to resort to violence.

    There’s no talking our way out of this….and indeed it’s really already begun with BLM shootings of police.

    BTW the new buzzword at Second City Cop – which means the Chicago Police – is “Fetal.”

    Stay Fetal my Friends.

    As in stay out of trouble and go home at the end of the shift. Don’t make any busts you don’t have to, let crime reign in the vibrant neighborhoods where it’s cherished. Or at least the criminals are…

    Hate the Crime, Cherish the Criminal. That about sums up the culture.

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 7:43 pm Reply | Quote
  • John Hannon Says:

    2016 – US Dollar finally collapses.
    Or does it?
    Anyone here prepared to put their mouth where their money theory is and make an unambiguous yes or no prediction?
    (Seems the majority of financial commentators on YuoTube are of the yes persuasion – but then doom-saying always gets the clicks)

    [Reply]

    Kgaard Reply:

    The problem has been the opposite: the dollar being too strong (as evidenced by gold’s drop from $1900 to $1070 and the implosion of emerging markets and commodities). I don’t see collapse of the dollar (i.e. gold $2,500) but I do expect gold to bottom in the fall and then starting to rise. So, my year end prediction for gold is … flat at $1,070/oz. Then YE 2017 would be $1,200/oz.

    [Reply]

    Different T Reply:

    No.

    Not even close, and likely the opposite.

    No idea why $2500/oz for gold would be considered a collapse. Gold price isn’t what matters, forex is. People want stuff. Not gold or paper.

    The dollar is a reflection of the USA’s legal system and military.

    Fuck, NRx is utterly retarded about economics and finance.

    [Reply]

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    “The dollar is a reflection of the USA’s legal system and military.”

    Which, of course, are completely immune to and insulated from underlying economic and social disintegration. Who’s retarded now?

    [Reply]

    Different T Reply:

    Not sure what examples you would give of “underlying economic and social disintegration;” but for the most part the relevant (contract law) legal system and military power of the US is unfortunately immune.

    For instance; no-fault divorce is not going to decrease the propensity of multi-nationals to contract in dollars. NSA spying is unlikely to decrease said propensity (when compared to other governments). The military is incredibly likely to continue as the worlds pre-eminent force for many decades.

    And all this assumes WashCorp would actually be dumb enough to continue policies that did threaten the dollar.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    USG and the Fed responded to the GFC with pseudo-reforms that make an even greater crisis all-but inevitable within our lifetimes. Its academic institutions have become hollowed-out, intellectually bankrupt breeding grounds for Cultural Marxism and other progressive insanity. You won’t learn anything about history, philosophy or Test scores in Singapore, Hong Kong, Israel and South Korea highlight the intellectual poverty of the United States. In demographic terms the United States is set to become an appendage of Mexico. The American legal system for the present preserves the superficial form of justice, rights and freedom whilst obscuring its actual vacuity, a result of the triumph of the academic-media complex in its century-long war against the Christian moral foundations of that legal system. The Blue Team pursues a full-retard foreign policy in which it repeatedly commits in the Middle East the same dumb mistakes we should have known to avoid since Nam. Having the greatest, most extensive army of muhreens trained in gorilla warfare with over 9000 confirmed kills doesn’t count for shit if you’re dumb enough for Turkey, KSA and Qatar to ruse you into having your citizens killed so they can get more pipelines and go on a mosque-building spree in Europe. These are just a few manifestations of the decadence of Obamaland, and it is possible to enumerate many others, but these alone should give you plentiful reason to second-guess your assumption that everything is A-OK, nothing to worry about.

    Different T Reply:

    but these alone should give you plentiful reason to second-guess your assumption that everything is A-OK, nothing to worry about.

    Who said anything remotely like “everything is A-OK.” The question was whether the USD would implode within the year 2016.

    Test scores in Singapore, Hong Kong, Israel and South Korea highlight the intellectual poverty of the United States. In demographic terms the United States is set to become an appendage of Mexico. The American legal system for the present preserves the superficial form of justice, rights and freedom whilst obscuring its actual vacuity, a result of the triumph of the academic-media complex in its century-long war against the Christian moral foundations of that legal system.

    Guess what. Those things don’t matter for the short term outlook of the dollar. Do you think the US’s citizens and corps own more or less than they did 50 years during the period all of these things took place?

    Having the greatest, most extensive army of muhreens trained in gorilla warfare with over 9000 confirmed kills doesn’t count for shit if you’re dumb enough for Turkey, KSA and Qatar to ruse you into having your citizens killed so they can get more pipelines and go on a mosque-building spree in Europe.

    Yes, it does. So long as the military can provide intervention when necessary, it benefits the dollar.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    “Guess what. Those things don’t matter for the short term outlook”

    Guess what. Fixation on the short term outlook is what turns you into a cuck for the status quo.

    Different T Reply:

    Keep swinging at the straw men. It’ll be good for your blood pressure.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    I’m not swinging at the straw men, just pointing out the stuffed mean, the hollow men who deny that they’re decadents.

    “If you see a fraud and don’t shout, ‘Fraud!’ you are a fraud.”

    – Nassim Nicholas Tabouli

    Different T Reply:

    So do you care to wager that the dollar implodes in 2016?

    the hollow men who deny that they’re decadents.

    So those with eyes are decadents now. Cute.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    “So do you care to wager that the dollar implodes in 2016?”

    You can’t make a bet based on a metaphorical predicate, dummy. You might as well wager whether the dollar turns blue, gets a nose job or does a cartwheel.

    However, I do wager that you’re a decadent poseur pleb who lives in a Western-aligned country and probably watches TV too.

    Different T Reply:

    You can’t make a bet based on a metaphorical predicate, dummy.

    All we need is to set the non-metaphorical 12/31/16 mark. Dollar index is what most would use; but you seem very creative. What would you suggest?

    However, I do wager that you’re a decadent poseur pleb who lives in a Western-aligned country and probably watches TV too.

    Sure.

    Grotesque Body Reply:

    Alrighty then. I bet my shiny Charizard that by 31/12/2016 the value of the USD will be completely disconnected from reality.

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 9:29 pm Reply | Quote
  • Brett Stevens Says:

    I gotta agree with Mr. Warkin here.

    2015 was the left showing its true colors and the sane remnants of Western European culture polarizing.

    2016 is the year of the great division — and leftists, forced into a corner by their own policies, becoming increasing tyrannical with the media refusing to cover it at all.

    [Reply]

    Different T Reply:

    You don’t seem to have much respect for the self-correction of Capital.

    And you seem to think the issue is Left/Right.

    Do you honestly believe that the forces we are considering care about “transgender rights” or tax rates?

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 10:06 pm Reply | Quote
  • SVErshov Says:

    2015 was delusional year, 2016 double to that

    [Reply]

    Posted on December 31st, 2015 at 10:36 pm Reply | Quote
  • Aristocles Invictus Says:

    Cthulu will continue to swim ever leftward…

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 1st, 2016 at 12:46 am Reply | Quote
  • Grotesque Body Says:

    1. People will continue to fail to realise that it’s utterly retarded to describe Trump as a ‘fascist’, will continue to do so
    2. Trump, somewhat like the UKIP phenomenon continues to show strongly in the public eye but fall at the final hurdle
    3. Hillary Demiurge accedes to POTUS, which anyone committed to NRx should 100% support for #AAA reasons
    4. US politics will polarise further and the next non-cuck GOP candidate will make Trump look like JFK by comparison
    5. Sam Hyde, aware of his own antifragility, will make /pol/ mainstream

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 1st, 2016 at 2:26 am Reply | Quote
  • northanger Says:

    1. Dow breaks 20,000.
    2. Scientific discovery changes paradigm, hugely.
    3. First US woman elected president.
    4. George Lucas, finally, wins an Oscar.
    5. Kepler mission makes intriguing discovery.
    6. Russia will be converted and the world will have peace.
    7. Space is not the final frontier.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 1st, 2016 at 6:41 am Reply | Quote
  • Erebus Says:

    I was reading that Ryan Cooper article (as deep and lucid as a muddy puddle, as usual,) and this leapt off the page:

    “Only a true democracy, with high participation, equal rights (necessarily implying an equitable distribution of economic power), and strong, decent norms holds the potential to permanently defeat the forces of white nationalism and hatred unleashed by Trump.” (Emphasis added.)

    How does one go from equal rights directly to “an equitable distribution of economic power”? Isn’t the entire progressive argument precisely the opposite? Hence wealth redistribution, active government assistance towards “disadvantaged” groups, and so forth…
    (The progs must be using a definition of the word “equal” that I can’t find in the Oxford English Dictionary.)

    [Reply]

    Kwisatz Haderach Reply:

    The same phrase jumped out at me. How is that a parenthetical? Like he’s not even sure if he needs to include that implication because it’s so obvious.

    Equal rights = full communism, no compromises.

    [Reply]

    Kwisatz Haderach Reply:

    “true democracy”
    “equal rights”
    “strong, decent norms”

    This is such religious language. It’s distilled purity/virtue signalling. In his mind, vile orcs stand before the gates of good, clean, pure, strong, equal, fair, righteous progressivism, and it is now time to prepare for the Final Battle that will permanently defeat the unclean forces of hatred and whiteness.

    As a critical tool of analysis, I am really warming up to the hyper-Calvinism lens.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 1st, 2016 at 1:03 pm Reply | Quote
  • Mark Citadel Says:

    2016 is going to be a lot of fun. I cannot say exactly what will happen, but I would hope that another Middle Eastern government falls (likely Afghanistan), and China and Russia finally bite the bullet and put into action their plan to topple the dollar as reserve currency. If they can successfully destroy the polarity of post-Cold War international relations, and yet remain incapable themselves of filling the void effectively, the world will become a free-for-all hot mess. In such a scenario further eroding of Liberal power can be maximized.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 2nd, 2016 at 12:33 pm Reply | Quote
  • jack arcalon Says:

    I predict that in 2016 something so incredible will happen that it will shatter the very understanding of reality itself, like Reagan comes back from the dead or it turns out the world is run by a vast conspiracy of which everyone but YOU is a member.

    Haha just kidding, in actuality it will be the most boring year in human history.

    [Reply]

    Posted on January 5th, 2016 at 12:35 pm Reply | Quote
  • This Week in Reaction (2016/01/03) | The Reactivity Place Says:

    […] Land’s Populism II was interesting. Especially in the comments. He also says an Auld Lang Syne for the This is the Current Year that […]

    Posted on January 6th, 2016 at 11:25 pm Reply | Quote

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