Posts Tagged ‘Science’

Chaos Patch (#106)

(Open thread + links)

Morality markets (the natalist angle). Poseidon on fire (1, 2, 3, 4). “Sex is far too important to be left to the decision of those directly involved” (hardcore). Survive the decline (plus). The establishment isn’t suicidal. The holiness trap. The raging realist. Convergent religious decay. Homo economicus and his other (relevant). Reading Disraeli, Wittgenstein, and Guénon. MetaWeimerica. Indian Amerikan. The RF debate. The weekly round.

Secession stuff (1, 2). Gitmo and the new religion. Nativist safe spaces. “Anarcho-pessimism: the cause of general welfare is screwed in general.” The ring of power. Heritage Index of Economic Freedom, 2016.

Political earthquake in Germany (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). French demography. “Brussels is hell.” The Völkerwanderung has scarcely begun. Duh! A Chinese DARPA? Brazilian whacks (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Lights out in Venezuela.

Economics and entropy. The Silicon Valley political endgame. Supra-national mega-capital. Apple vs the FBI. Manna overlords.

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8). Hit and miss (+ 1, 2). #Never Trump! (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7). Trump’s trolls. Dugin on Trump (who isn’t literally Hitler). He’s more of a non-black, mad postmodern god, and icon of democracy. Rallies don’t matter. This could totally work. SSC does Trump.

Loaded. Hominid geno-tangles. Non-shared environment. European admixture in the Americas. Pharmacogenomics. Marking on a curve. A modest proposal at Harvard. An upsetting book. Pumpkin heads (1, 2).

More on AlphaGo (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6). Visualized quantum computers. Limits of (irreversible) computing. Into darkness. “Whatever one can do to earn a profit in space, will eventually be done.”

OS on Mars. Prime patterns, clots, and suggestions. Quantum corrections. Memory update.

Economics of human sacrifice. Newtonian time. Yudkowsky speaks. The Cancer of Superstition. PKD anticipates The Matrix. The Splitter. The cheapest time-anomaly in history. The end of facts. Crowley, shitlord.

March 20, 2016admin 39 Comments »
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Chaos Patch (#105)

(Open thread + links)

Metaculture. The global polyhedron (1, 2). Fake flights from selection. Mandatory participation in providence. Cropped-back ‘concerns‘. The asymmetric spectrum. Raw power. Mind-control. Uncontrolled government (is cancer). Hoppe against democracy (podcast). The weekly round (the SSC link-fest).

The “war on western lifestyle” [*facepalm*]. Droned. Submarine Karachi? SA mark-down. Europe raped (1, 2) rightwards (1, 2, 3). Canadian immigration madness. Multicultural knots. Where it could end. China in Djibouti. The inevitability of war (plus). Weakness provokes aggression (1, 2). Democracy and globalization in retreat. End of Neoconservatism.

Price discovery on Rohypnol. The metallic break-point. Trust destruction. Panic at the ECB. SF versus tech. Oil economics. Surveillance capitalism.

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2, 3, 4). Street politics (plus). Revolution 2.0. “… the GOP would obviously prefer to lose the election rather than have Trump win” (note). Racial politics. Signs of sympathy (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8). Ditch and switch. An upside-down version of the Outsideness strategy for leftists. Trump in context (1, 2, 3).

America’s four parties. “In order to accelerate the collapse, the best president will be the person who is the most corrupt, the most pro-government and most anti-liberty.”

Twitter and beyond. Cli-fi. #TheTriggering (plus). Politicized science (video). The diversity scam.

IQ matters more. Han genetics. The $999 genome. Biology goes ape. Psychology in crisis (1, 2, 3). What should a theory of consciousness look like? Genius geno-tech (video). Faith in evolution.

AI beats LSD (1, 2, 3), but the human resistance wins one (+). Eye-to-claw coordination (via). Scalable quantum computation update. A micropayments marketplace. Fear of blockchains.

Largest object in the cosmos? Bacterial electro-communication. CRISPR revolution. Boneless (video). Isolation.

Productive philosophy. The Omega visionary. Its from bits. Enlightenment to entanglement. In defense of boredom.

March 13, 2016admin 24 Comments »
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General Intelligence

This still crops up occasionally as a ‘controversial concept’ so it’s worth putting up a quick-and-easy docking-port to the informed mainstream position.

… the evidentiary base regarding the existence of general intelligence and its ability to predict important life outcomes — including health, longevity and mortality, as well as other key variables — is beyond compelling, it’s overwhelming. And if you find yourself feeling like you can do damage to this evidence base by invoking arguments about “multiple intelligences” or something of the sort, let me save you the effort. Those urges illustrate unfamiliarity with any of the serious research done on the topic in the last several decades. If those urges haunt you, I’d recommend Stuart Ritchie’s excellent primer on the topic. The waters of intelligence research, though controversial, no longer require that you be Magellan to navigate them. As we will see below, however, it is only one small step from banal psychometric work on IQ, to the mother-load of academic controversy. Stay tuned. …

For most here this will be redundant. The next (edgier) stage will also be redundant. It’s posted here almost as much in appreciation of its exasperated tone as for its linkage.

Gottfredson, cited in the post is the author of ‘Mainstream Science on Intelligence’ (1994), still after more than two decades probably the best short primer. The Wikipedia summary is here (with some commentary, and useful linkage).

March 11, 2016admin 9 Comments »

Quote note (#228)

Steve Hsu on the genetics of intelligence:

… the largest effect size [from a single allele] researchers have been able to detect thus far is less than a single point of IQ. Larger effect sizes would have been much easier to detect, but have not been seen. […] This means that there must be at least thousands of IQ alleles to account for the actual variation seen in the general population. A more sophisticated analysis (with large error bars) yields an estimate of perhaps 10,000 in total.*

Each genetic variant slightly increases or decreases cognitive ability. Because it is determined by many small additive effects, cognitive ability is normally distributed, following the familiar bell-shaped curve, with more people in the middle than in the tails. A person with more than the average number of positive (IQ-increasing) variants will be above average in ability. The number of positive alleles above the population average required to raise the trait value by a standard deviation — that is, 15 points — is proportional to the square root of the number of variants, or about 100. In a nutshell, 100 or so additional positive variants could raise IQ by 15 points. […] Given that there are many thousands of potential positive variants, the implication is clear: If a human being could be engineered to have the positive version of each causal variant, they might exhibit cognitive ability which is roughly 100 standard deviations above average. This corresponds to more than 1,000 IQ points. […] It is not at all clear that IQ scores have any meaning in this range. However, we can be confident that, whatever it means, ability of this kind would far exceed the maximum ability among the approximately 100 billion total individuals who have ever lived. …

* Hsu, S.D.H. On the genetic architecture of intelligence and other quantitative traits. Preprint arXiv:1408.3421 (2014).

March 9, 2016admin 41 Comments »
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Chaos Patch (#104)

(Open thread + links)

Time horizons. Accountability (and a modest suggestion). Principles. Heartiste on the JQ (Jim comments), also highly relevant (plus response), then, for the full triad. Against direct democracy. The last straw. Finding RF too deranged to specifically link right now, but there’s lots going on there. The weekly round, in the Cathedral.

“If there’s a global emotional illness related to economic decline, my suspicion would be that it’s a form of collapse-impatience.” Heidegger’s revolutionary children (note). “… freedom, to be more powerful than terror, must be successfully protected.” American identity, also. Ideological sorting. Net-centric warfare. WN rising.

Lessons from Malaysia. Examining Egypt, and Yemen. Oh, Canada. Good and bad passports. France is stuck. A Eurabian horror story. “After nearly 60 years of European integration, we are entering the age of disintegration.” Raspail’s prophecy, and more (1, 2, 3). The Swedish diaspora. Over-stretched liberals (video).

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9). Analysis. The Dugin endorsement, and more (1, 2, 3, 4, 5), including black ministers from Virginia (video), and hmmm. The brown scare gets old. The lectures aren’t working (1, 2, 3). Neoconservatives head home. McArdle corner(ed 1, 2, 3, 4, 5), and other reservations. Barn-burners will be disappointed. Cascades and games (did he swerve?). Democracy did it. (“Democracy, not even once.”) Trump’s twitter operation. “There is no hope for the future of capitalist prosperity and a free society at home and world peace abroad unless the Republican Party is destroyed.” GOP suicide watch (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Did they get baby Trump yet?

The Zuck cops, plus. Sticking with Twitter.

Feminist glaciology.

Blockchained culture markets (plus). A scalable implementation of Schor’s Algorithm.

Time and black holes. Surreal trajectories. Viral anti-virus. Sexual function. Old lizards. Deep ancestry. Chimp religion? Your brain on VR. More Right science links. Viscous populations. Nootropics. Physics of space battles.

Prestige economies (and note). Computational theology. Disreputable math. An awkward Koran.

March 6, 2016admin 16 Comments »
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Chaos Patch (#102)

(Open thread + links)

Atomic fission. Occult government. The chaos option. Escalate to ideas. A tale from the Hood. Comment policy. The dissident right mapped (not hugely persuasively). New blog. The weekly round.

The Islamic Vortex update (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7). Saudi collapse chatter (plus). Stuxnet update. Charlie Foxtrot foreign policy (1, 2, 3, 4). Venezuela in ruins (1, 2, 3). Full communism in the UK and US. Chinese takes on the Norks, its own rich kids, and digital money. Germany leaves the reservation. Scary Poland (notable 1, 2), plus Jim’s take.

Commodities as cash. Beyond zirp lies calamity (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). The neglected supply side. Business success for SJWs (1, 2).

Polarization yawns (relevant). Against inheritance (note). Lost millennials (and competitiveness). The ‘social justice’ defense.

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2, 3). The Bush slayer (relevant), level complete. Crashing the party (1, 2, 3, 4). Spanked Pope. Dreher floods the zone (1, 2, 3, 4). Trump speaks. Trump’s veep?

Meanwhile, on the other side of chaos (1, 2, 3, 4).

ScaliaGate (1, 2, 3, 4).

Twitter funny business watch (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). The search for alternatives. Twitter versus Facebook. Social media versus party politics. The digital ghetto. Biased social science. Derbyshire disinvited.

Costs of dishonesty. Racial profiling. The tightrope of discretion. Discriminate harder. German crime stats. Complexities of religious reproduction. An IQ/income bibliography. Amygdala conflict. A biorealist look at democracy.

Hominin taxic diversity (plus).

Apple against the FBI. What’s next for AI (see also, and)? ET is out there (or in here). Time-travel ‘update‘.

A difficult number. Predation and speciation. Modafinil works. Toxoplasma alert drop. A time-lapsed sun and carnivorous glowworms.

Apocalypse Corner (1, 2, 3). “As the economic, social and ethnic contradictions are only growing in the modern world our most cunning weapon against the system is to snuff out all hope people may still have. Considering the state the world is in today it doesn’t take much to shake people’s confidence in the system. But instead of being worried, anxious or desperate about the coming turmoil, we must fearlessly welcome it, we must celebrate it, we must embrace it, we must always make it absolutely clear that the collapse of the western societies into a raging ethnic tribal war only serves our cause and that it is the necessary prerequisite for the national revolution. Therefore our primary task is to convince everyone that chaos awaits, we must do everything within our power so that a sense of doom and gloom begins to haunt the society. We must persuade people to believe in the collapse, so that this collapse then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as well.” (As with much Chaos Patch material, that merits an XS smile, but not a full endorsement.)

A cognitive bias run-down. Umberto Eco (RIP) on fascism.

February 21, 2016admin 30 Comments »
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Quote note (#220)

Scott Alexander in full-flood (in his own comment zone):

Okay, that’s actually a fair point. I don’t have all of this in one place yet, but I’ll try to give you a summary. And in honor of you accusing me of paranoid rants, I’ll try to present it in as deliberately conspiratorial and tinfoil-hattish a way as possible. I make no guarantees I will stand by any of this when I’m sober / when it’s not 3:30 AM. [I’m going to assume that’s an abbreviation for 3:33]


People naturally divide into ingroups and outgroups. Although the traditional way of doing this is by race or religion (leading to racism, anti-Semitism, Islamophobia, etc), in modern America this is gradually being replaced by a more complicated division based on social class and political affiliation. Rural working-class people have become a very different tribe (“Red Tribe”) than college-educated urban people in gated professions (“Blue Tribe”), with different food preferences, sport preferences, entertainment preferences, dialects, religions, mores, and politics. These two groups are vehemently opposed.

(if you only read one link in this piece, read that vehemently opposed one. The rest are just citations; that one contains an important piece of the story that’s hard to summarize).

Continue Reading

February 15, 2016admin 54 Comments »
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Chaos Patch (#101)

(open thread + links)

NRx orthodoxy (also relevant). Sanguine on NIO. Retribution. Broken world syndrome. Why WN fails. Citadel on philosemitism. Leftism and Christianity. ‘Neoreaction’ on TV. The ADL’s Alt-Right primer. The weekly round.

War clouds thicken over Syria (also relevant). Transition in Vietnam (some commentary). Swedish suicide (and Finland‘s). Collapse spiral in Greece, and — still more — in Venezuela. Blaming you-know-who in Malaysia. Winning by losing. Grim analyses. Stay out of civil wars. A defense of the Gray Zone. Ethnic violence is war.

Missing inflation and abundant oil. The fourth revolution. Inefficient financial markets. Perverse effects.

Antonin Scalia, a writer for the law (as even his enemies admit). An opportunity for the Left? Pollack comments. Douthat at the NYT.

Mainstream Left and Right on the tightrope. No exit. An Indian view of political asymmetry (also). When anarchists attack. Communist defectors. Send him to church. Millennial retardation and psychosis (related).

Trumpenführer panic report — fash forward edition. Trump intensifies. Subtle hints of desperation. “Trumpism is … the endgame of a process that has been going on for a half-century: America’s divestment of its historic national identity.” Populism rising, everywhere. America can survive.

Apocalypse Corner — locked-in-a-burning-box version. Doom loop (relevant). “We’re all going to suffer.”

Twitter’s algorithmic timeline and untrusted safety council, plus shadow banning, censorship, and other partisan excesses. (More.) The padded cell option. Chaos tweet of the week. Methodical lies.

Crime-fact express. DNA letters. Canine ‘IQ’. Sexual difference. A black bitter clinger.

Zika people. Leftist ants. Tentaclysm (plus).

Open access. Gravity makes waves (plus 1, 2, 3, 4). Mega-mirrors. Moore no more? Two decades of computer pwnage. Viral heritage. Time-travel hazard.

The complex beauty of virtue ethics. Cheating and self-reinforcement. Defectors from the Left. Going big on Bosch.

February 14, 2016admin 39 Comments »
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Quote note (#217)

If ‘scientism’ is about ignoring these objections, and exploring reality with absolute contempt for all constraint, then the XS posture is unreservedly scientistic:

Scientific inquiry into the truth about human nature is a worthy part of the modern scientific project, and one that deserves our support. However, it is not morally neutral. Scientists who want to study human nature must justify their research in moral terms: What might this research tell us about who we are as human beings, and what might it mean for how we should live? Trying to separate the moral questions from the results of inquiry by claiming that all the moral questions are already settled would make scientific inquiry both irresponsible and irrelevant. Making such claims is irresponsible because it ignores the reality that many people in society who see things differently may use the claims for pernicious ends. But it is also an admission of irrelevance. Why inquire about human nature if not in the service of the Socratic question of how we should live? An open-minded dedication to free inquiry into the truth, notwithstanding the barriers of taboos, traditions, and authority, is admirable — but real open-mindedness also calls for recognizing when taboos, traditions, and authorities embody reason and goodness and deserve our respect.

There are no authorities that can be trusted to impose these qualifications, or trusted to be able to impose them. The more radically immunized to all such considerations science can be, the more we’re going to learn things, and if what we discover deeply upsets us — better still. If there’s a “trust us” in there somewhere, its credibility was already long dead and stinking by the late 20th century. Whether delegitimated through epistemological malignancy, or social fecklessness, there are no public institutions or authorities left that deserve an iota of trust today.

Scientists are flaky monkeys, to be tormented by cold criticism, but science is a work of Gnon. Best then, to do what’s going to be done. Strip truth down to the basics — where it means only reality claims capable of withstanding rigorous, non-orchestrated criticism (and ultimately Nakamoto consensus) — or get out of the way, before you’re pushed. Truth curation is over (and was already, virtually, half a millennium ago).

February 8, 2016admin 46 Comments »
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Chaos Patch (#98)

(Open thread + links)

The XS antibody. Genocide spirals. Bad government. Conflict prompts. Against the commons. Following orders. Massive squalls of Alt-Right discussion almost everywhere, including this (+) and this from Brett Stevens, a loose trilogy from Free Northener (1, 2, 3), an Alfred Clark introduction, Citadel and SoBL commentary, a Roosh piece. Not sure whether enthusiasm for Second Wave Fascism counts (why not?). A defense of identitarianism. The weekly round.

Western resilience. Silent trade. All-devouring democracy. The 0.000001%. The Celtic Enlightenment. Dutch exceptionalism. Fragmented anxieties. Capitalism stole our ice age.

We still have Venezuelan Bolivarian Socialism to kick around. The Midwest laid waste. Fissile nations. ICANN going international.

Cologne fall out is still glowing hot (1, 2, 3). Exodus (explained).

Trumpenführer panic report (1, 2). NRO @ work (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6). The Sam Francis connection. Related lunacy (plus). Libertarian comment from North and Paul.
Popcorn bonus (1, 2).

Parents > parenting. Delicate concerns about the public IQ ‘debate’ (via). Designer babies. Asperger‘s nazism. A brief tour of racial madness (1, 2, 3). Out of left field (comment). Drama awards. Schooled.

Liberal agony (1, 2). Mind-control issues at Facebook (1, 2, 3), Twitter (1, 2), and elsewhere (1, 2, 3).

Apocalypse corner (1, 2, 3, 4). Radioactive headline of the week. Shorting the near-future (relevant). Narrative sequence. Soros speaks. ZH does it best (1, 2, 3). “Unlike the Great Depression, social crisis will eventually eclipse economic crisis in the U.S. That is to say, our society today is so unequipped to deal with a financial collapse that the event will inevitably trigger cultural upheaval and violent internal conflict. In the 1930s, nearly 50% of the American population was rural. Farmers made up 21% of the labor force. Today, only 20% of the population is rural. Less than 2% work in farming and agriculture. That’s a rather dramatic shift from a more independent and knowledgeable land-utilizing society to a far more helpless and hapless consumer-based system.”

Causes and Consequences of the Protestant Reformation.

The Gate of Gnon. Diminishing returns. Affective heuristics. Prediction is hard. The Plato code. Satanic psy-ops. Weird Wild Wests. 13 Hours review.

DARPA neuro-electronics. VR memories.

An early-filter theory. Quantum time tangles. 2^74,207,281 –1. A-life obstacles. Traps that count.

January 24, 2016admin 20 Comments »
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